What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 25 Nov 2006 → 25 Feb 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 18 Mar 2006 → 22 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 12 Jun 2005 → 17 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 29 May 2004 → 04 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 25 Mar 2007 → 21 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 01 Oct 2006 → 28 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 17 Jun 2006 → 16 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 24 Apr 2005 → 22 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 03 Oct 2004 → 31 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 26 May 2007 → 16 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 168 | 54 | 32.1% | 4 | 13 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2005 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 2003 | 17 | 9 | 52.9% | 3 |
Over 168 matches (Aug 2003 – Jun 2007), Ciudad de Murcia drew 54 where the draw model expected 51.1 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 50.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.