What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 23 Aug 2014 → 26 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 11 Mar 2012 → 04 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 28 Jun 2014 → 09 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 05 May 2013 → 23 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 02 Sep 2012 → 03 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 21 Sep 2013 → 09 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 19 Apr 2014 → 11 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 12 Jul 2013 → 03 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 24 Mar 2013 → 20 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 18 Jul 2012 → 12 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 102 | 23 | 22.6% | 11 | 11 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2013 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2012 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 9 |
Over 102 matches (Mar 2012 – Oct 2014), Chivas USA drew 23 where the draw model expected 25.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 25.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.