What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 03 Jun 2023 → 02 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 25 Apr 2026 → 19 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 04 Aug 2012 → 20 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 07 May 2025 → 05 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 30 Jun 2018 → 18 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 10 Oct 2014 → 09 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 22 May 2022 → 23 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 08 Aug 2021 → 22 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 18 Jun 2016 → 23 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 05 Sep 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 503 | 133 | 26.4% | 1 | 12 |
| US Open Cup | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2025 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 13 |
| 2022 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2021 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2014 | 35 | 18 | 51.4% | 4 |
| 2013 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 437 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Chicago Fire drew 110 where the draw model expected 110.3 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 109.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.