What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 02 Oct 2016 → 04 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 26 Mar 2016 → 06 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 25 Oct 2015 → 15 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 01 Aug 2015 → 12 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 31 Aug 2013 → 04 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 19 Oct 2012 → 11 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 12 Jan 2014 → 09 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 20 Aug 2016 → 17 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 26 Jul 2014 → 15 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 20 Jul 2012 → 10 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 174 | 50 | 28.7% | 1 | 15 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2015 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
Over 174 matches (Jul 2012 – May 2017), Chiapas drew 50 where the draw model expected 47.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 47.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.