What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 03 Apr 2026 → 27 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Oct 2023 → 26 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 29 Jun 2023 → 19 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 08 Jul 2022 → 01 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 19 Dec 2022 → 08 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 12 Nov 2022 → 05 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 18 Jul 2025 → 08 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 20 Apr 2025 → 10 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 28 Jul 2024 → 21 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 26 Jun 2024 → 16 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 155 | 41 | 26.5% | 3 | 13 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2025 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2024 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 177 matches (Mar 2019 – Oct 2026), Chengdu Rongcheng drew 47 where the draw model expected 41.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 43.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.