What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 26 Mar 2002 → 14 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 28 Nov 2001 → 02 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 20 Feb 2015 → 08 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 28 Jul 2017 → 13 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 07 Mar 2005 → 27 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 21 Nov 1998 → 27 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 May 2001 → 08 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 23 Feb 2018 → 20 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 27 Sep 2013 → 29 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Mar 2012 → 27 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 830 | 261 | 31.5% | 0 | 13 |
| Ligue 1 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 3 | 8 |
| Coupe de France | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2020 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 4 |
| 2018 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2015 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 12 |
| 2014 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2009 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2007 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 11 |
| 2004 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2002 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2001 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 2000 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1997 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1996 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
Over 172 matches (Jan 2015 – Jan 2024), LB Châteauroux drew 50 where the draw model expected 51.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 52.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.