What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 Jul 2025 → 28 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Apr 2023 → 03 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 23 Jul 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 01 Mar 2025 → 03 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 21 Mar 2026 → 02 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 30 Apr 2022 → 11 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 26 Feb 2022 → 16 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 06 Apr 2024 → 15 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 24 May 2025 → 28 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 09 Oct 2022 → 18 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 176 | 38 | 21.6% | 3 | 19 |
| US Open Cup | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 14 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 12 |
| 2022 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
Over 187 matches (Feb 2022 – Oct 2026), Charlotte drew 42 where the draw model expected 48.3 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 47.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.