What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 16 Sep 2016 → 02 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 21 Jul 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 19 May 2023 → 08 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 19 Jun 2016 → 21 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 10 May 2015 → 28 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 10 Dec 2022 → 26 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 03 Aug 2021 → 13 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 29 Apr 2018 → 01 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 30 Apr 2014 → 20 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 04 Nov 2023 → 14 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 296 | 81 | 27.4% | 2 | 12 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2025 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 5 |
| 2024 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 2023 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2018 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2016 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2015 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 284 matches (Mar 2015 – May 2026), Changchun Yatai drew 80 where the draw model expected 71.0 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 71.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.