What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 24 Jun 2017 → 21 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 13 Sep 2022 → 27 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 21 | 04 Mar 2018 → 14 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 19 May 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 19 Sep 2015 → 23 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 30 Apr 2022 → 23 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 09 Jul 2020 → 27 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 18 Oct 2025 → 09 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 24 May 2019 → 10 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 29 Jun 2014 → 06 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 512 | 107 | 20.9% | 0 | 41 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 11 |
| 2025 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2023 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 15 |
| 2022 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 13 |
| 2021 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 25 | 2 | 8.0% | 13 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2018 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 21 |
| 2017 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 20 |
| 2016 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 11 |
| 2014 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 12 |
| 2013 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 19 |
Over 425 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), CF Montréal drew 88 where the draw model expected 106.5 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 107.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.