What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 20 Jan 2024 → 15 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 30 Oct 2011 → 29 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 03 May 2015 → 22 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 17 Apr 2011 → 24 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Jan 2007 → 17 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 05 Jun 2005 → 10 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 29 Mar 2014 → 25 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 27 Dec 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 30 Sep 2025 → 28 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 11 Aug 2023 → 09 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 582 | 207 | 35.6% | 0 | 11 |
| Serie C | 168 | 45 | 26.8% | 1 | 15 |
| Serie A | 114 | 32 | 28.1% | 5 | 12 |
| Coppa Italia | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 2024 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2023 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2018 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2017 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 11 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2013 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 5 |
| 2011 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2010 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2009 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2008 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2006 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2004 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 22 | 12 | 54.6% | 5 |
| 1999 | 39 | 19 | 48.7% | 4 |
| 1998 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 422 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Cesena drew 129 where the draw model expected 125.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 129.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.