What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 28 Nov 2009 → 15 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 08 Aug 2020 → 09 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 01 Apr 2023 → 28 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 02 Mar 2019 → 26 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 31 Oct 2013 → 01 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 01 Mar 2009 → 08 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 04 Aug 2012 → 03 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 01 Dec 2019 → 07 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 Dec 2014 → 14 Feb 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 05 Oct 2008 → 20 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 733 | 170 | 23.2% | 4 | 19 |
| Belgian Cup | 158 | 34 | 21.5% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2025 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 16 |
| 2022 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 26 | 0 | 0.0% | 18 |
| 2019 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 16 |
| 2018 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 8 |
| 2014 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2013 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2012 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2011 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2010 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 15 |
| 2009 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 15 |
| 2008 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 2007 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2004 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2003 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 3 |
| 1996 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 1995 | 20 | 9 | 45.0% | 7 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 328 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Cercle Brugge drew 76 where the draw model expected 77.1 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 78.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.