What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 07 Feb 2021 → 28 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 21 Sep 2025 → 25 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 16 Mar 2025 → 27 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 15 Sep 2019 → 13 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 31 Mar 2019 → 20 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 13 Oct 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 21 Feb 2026 → 08 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 19 Dec 2025 → 16 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 31 Oct 2024 → 24 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 07 Nov 2020 → 29 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 166 | 56 | 33.7% | 0 | 14 |
| Coppa Italia | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 9 | 45.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 14 |
| 2020 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 6 |
| 2018 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 168 matches (Sep 2018 – Aug 2026), Cavese drew 56 where the draw model expected 52.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 50.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.