What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 25 Oct 2020 → 03 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 30 Dec 2018 → 17 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 15 Mar 2026 → 19 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 16 Oct 2023 → 11 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 21 Mar 2021 → 25 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 23 Sep 2017 → 21 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 28 Sep 2025 → 26 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 08 Dec 2024 → 11 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 16 Sep 2018 → 06 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 15 Apr 2018 → 28 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 240 | 78 | 32.5% | 0 | 22 |
| Coppa Italia | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2024 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 4 |
| 2023 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 12 |
| 2020 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2017 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 249 matches (Aug 2015 – Apr 2026), Casertana drew 82 where the draw model expected 76.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 74.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.