What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 07 Apr 2024 → 18 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 16 Aug 2021 → 30 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 Oct 2024 → 17 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 12 May 2011 → 01 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 08 Jan 2011 → 12 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 13 May 2023 → 22 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 15 Dec 2021 → 18 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 05 Apr 2025 → 01 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 17 Jan 2025 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Mar 2022 → 01 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 336 | 75 | 22.3% | 9 | 19 |
| Copa del Rey | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2024 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 19 |
| 2023 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 10 |
| 2022 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 13 |
| 2020 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2010 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2009 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 8 |
Over 238 matches (Sep 2016 – Aug 2026), Cartagena drew 54 where the draw model expected 70.4 from those particular fixtures — about 16 fewer, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 69.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.