What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 03 Mar 2015 → 25 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 17 Jan 2021 → 10 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 22 Sep 2014 → 01 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 10 Jan 2025 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 25 Apr 2016 → 27 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 21 Mar 2026 → 09 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 14 Sep 2025 → 10 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 24 Nov 2018 → 26 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 01 Nov 2013 → 07 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 26 Oct 2025 → 30 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 204 | 63 | 30.9% | 4 | 9 |
| Serie C | 126 | 37 | 29.4% | 5 | 8 |
| Serie A | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 4 | 5 |
| Coppa Italia | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2018 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 8 |
| 2013 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 318 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), Carpi drew 96 where the draw model expected 96.4 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 96.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.