What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 17 Jul 2023 → 29 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 19 May 2023 → 02 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 02 Aug 2021 → 12 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 19 Sep 2020 → 28 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 04 Apr 2024 → 01 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 18 Dec 2022 → 07 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 19 Jun 2016 → 13 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 26 May 2024 → 30 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Jul 2022 → 18 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 25 Sep 2016 → 30 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 196 | 63 | 32.1% | 2 | 13 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 2022 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2021 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2020 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 6 |
| 2015 | 31 | 15 | 48.4% | 5 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 213 matches (Mar 2015 – Nov 2024), Cangzhou Mighty Lions drew 65 where the draw model expected 53.4 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 53.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.