What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 25 Oct 1998 → 30 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 07 Jan 1996 → 06 Apr 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 12 Mar 2000 → 14 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 09 May 1999 → 24 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 22 Oct 1995 → 23 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 14 Apr 2001 → 27 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 16 Oct 1999 → 05 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 10 Apr 1998 → 17 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 20 Aug 1995 → 01 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 18 Feb 2001 → 16 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 170 | 34 | 20.0% | 7 | 13 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2000 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 1998 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1997 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1996 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 13 |
| 1995 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 8 |
Over 170 matches (Aug 1995 – May 2001), SC Campomaiorense drew 34 where the draw model expected 43.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 43.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.