What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 Aug 2021 → 19 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 21 Nov 2015 → 19 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 19 Feb 2023 → 28 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 24 Jan 2015 → 12 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 05 Feb 2022 → 23 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 Jul 2026 → 30 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 15 Oct 2022 → 11 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 09 Nov 2014 → 20 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 15 Dec 2013 → 05 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 02 Apr 2000 → 14 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 283 | 64 | 22.6% | 2 | 17 |
| KNVB Cup | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 13 |
| 2022 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2021 | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 19 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 11 |
| 2015 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 13 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2013 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1999 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 1998 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 1994 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1993 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
Over 169 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), SC Cambuur drew 31 where the draw model expected 34.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 36.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.