Cagliari Calcio
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 494 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Cagliari Calcio drew 126 where the draw model expected 125.9 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 135.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 10 Nov 2010 → 27 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 27 Mar 2004 → 17 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 19 Aug 2017 → 28 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 30 Aug 2009 → 06 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 11 Sep 2016 → 30 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 01 Nov 1998 → 31 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 15 Dec 2015 → 29 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 26 Jan 2019 → 07 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 18 Apr 2007 → 02 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 24 Nov 2002 → 26 Jan 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 969 | 273 | 28.2% | 8 | 23 |
| Serie B | 278 | 98 | 35.3% | 5 | 12 |
| Coppa Italia | 51 | 7 | 13.7% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2020 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2019 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2016 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 13 |
| 2015 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2010 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 14 |
| 2008 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2007 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 19 | 45.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 18 |
| 2003 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2001 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 7 |
| 2000 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1999 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1997 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 4 |
| 1996 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1994 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 1993 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 18:45 |
Cagliari Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 19 Oct 16:30 |
AC Monza
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:00 |
Cagliari Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:00 |
SS Lazio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 14:00 |
Cagliari Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.