What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 10 Nov 2010 → 27 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 27 Mar 2004 → 17 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 19 Aug 2017 → 28 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 30 Aug 2009 → 06 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 11 Sep 2016 → 30 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 01 Nov 1998 → 31 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 15 Dec 2015 → 29 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 26 Jan 2019 → 07 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 18 Apr 2007 → 02 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 24 Nov 2002 → 26 Jan 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 974 | 274 | 28.1% | 4 | 23 |
| Serie B | 278 | 98 | 35.3% | 5 | 12 |
| Coppa Italia | 51 | 7 | 13.7% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2020 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2019 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2016 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 13 |
| 2015 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2010 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 14 |
| 2008 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2007 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 19 | 45.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 18 |
| 2003 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2001 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 7 |
| 2000 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1999 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1997 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 4 |
| 1996 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1994 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 1993 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 499 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Cagliari Calcio drew 127 where the draw model expected 127.0 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 136.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.