What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 03 Feb 2024 → 03 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 23 May 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 05 Aug 2017 → 05 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 17 Mar 2006 → 08 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 02 Apr 2005 → 19 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 11 Apr 2009 → 18 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 07 May 1994 → 17 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Dec 2024 → 17 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 11 Mar 2023 → 20 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 02 Jun 2023 → 30 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 674 | 209 | 31.0% | 1 | 14 |
| Ligue 1 | 494 | 133 | 26.9% | 3 | 14 |
| Coupe de France | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 14 |
| 2023 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2019 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 8 |
| 2017 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2016 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2015 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 14 |
| 2014 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2012 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2011 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2008 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 12 |
| 2004 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2003 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 2002 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 8 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 5 |
| 2000 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1999 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 8 |
| 1998 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 1995 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 1993 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 9 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 404 matches (Jan 2015 – Jul 2026), Stade Malherbe Caen drew 101 where the draw model expected 116.9 from those particular fixtures — about 16 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 117.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.