What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 27 Oct 2018 → 06 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Feb 2026 → 27 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 22 May 2022 → 16 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 04 Jul 2020 → 01 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 04 Jun 2019 → 17 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 05 Nov 2017 → 15 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 20 Nov 2016 → 22 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 30 Oct 2004 → 18 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 16 Nov 2025 → 21 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 25 Apr 2025 → 17 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 474 | 153 | 32.3% | 5 | 11 |
| La Liga | 190 | 65 | 34.2% | 1 | 7 |
| Copa del Rey | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2025 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 5 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 9 |
| 2021 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2020 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2019 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2018 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 11 |
| 2017 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2008 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 2006 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2004 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2003 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
Over 462 matches (Sep 2015 – Nov 2026), Cádiz CF drew 148 where the draw model expected 132.5 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 129.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.