What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 07 Nov 2015 → 16 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 21 Apr 2012 → 01 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 Jul 2008 → 25 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 07 Nov 2009 → 27 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 16 Oct 2005 → 20 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 02 Apr 2018 → 05 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 27 Apr 2013 → 10 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 22 Sep 2012 → 02 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 26 Nov 2011 → 18 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 05 Mar 2011 → 16 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 228 | 64 | 28.1% | 2 | 11 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 170 | 54 | 31.8% | 1 | 9 |
| Regionalliga Bayern | 70 | 14 | 20.0% | 0 | 12 |
| DFB-Pokal | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 |
| 2016 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 2015 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 3 |
| 2013 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2010 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2008 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 2007 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 2006 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2004 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2003 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 4 |
| 2002 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
Over 475 matches (Aug 2002 – May 2018), Wacker Burghausen drew 135 where the draw model expected 130.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 129.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.