What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 22 Jan 1995 → 04 Jun 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 17 Apr 2007 → 22 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 03 May 2010 → 31 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 02 May 2004 → 06 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 21 Feb 2014 → 03 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 05 May 2024 → 30 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 30 Apr 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 24 Dec 2014 → 03 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 21 Sep 1997 → 14 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 01 Jul 2020 → 29 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 806 | 270 | 33.5% | 1 | 15 |
| Serie A | 318 | 95 | 29.9% | 0 | 18 |
| Coppa Italia | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2024 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 11 |
| 2023 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 18 | 43.9% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2019 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2018 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 5 |
| 2017 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2016 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2015 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2013 | 44 | 19 | 43.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 5 |
| 2010 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 15 |
| 2009 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2008 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 16 |
| 2006 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2004 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2003 | 33 | 18 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 2002 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2000 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 1999 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 1998 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 1997 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 1995 | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 18 |
| 1994 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 6 |
Over 429 matches (Jan 2015 – May 2025), Brescia Calcio drew 143 where the draw model expected 127.5 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 134.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.