Brazil
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 142 matches (Mar 2015 – Jul 2026), Brazil drew 31 where the draw model expected 28.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 32.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 09 Jun 2013 → 12 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 07 Jun 2001 → 27 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 09 Jun 1968 → 03 Nov 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 28 Sep 2011 → 16 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 04 Jul 2014 → 21 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 08 Jun 1999 → 07 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 10 Mar 1960 → 12 Jul 1960 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 08 Jun 2016 → 31 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 10 Jun 1997 → 12 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 01 Apr 2009 → 11 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 444 | 85 | 19.1% | 4 | 21 |
| Copa América | 195 | 41 | 21.0% | 0 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 145 | 37 | 25.5% | 3 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup | 119 | 20 | 16.8% | 4 | 7 |
| Confederations Cup | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Copa Roca | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Copa Rio Branco | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Copa Oswaldo Cruz | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Pan American Championship | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Gold Cup | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 5 | 5 |
| Copa Bernardo O'Higgins | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Superclásico de las Américas | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Atlantic Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| USA Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Tournoi de France | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Mundialito | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Rous Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| King's Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2025 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2022 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2021 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2018 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 10 |
| 2017 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2012 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 11 |
| 2011 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 2008 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 2006 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 4 |
| 2003 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 11 |
| 2001 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2000 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 15 |
| 1998 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 1997 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 14 |
| 1996 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1995 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1994 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1993 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 1992 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1991 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 1990 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1989 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 6 |
| 1988 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1987 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1986 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1985 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1983 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1981 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1979 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1978 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 2 |
| 1976 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1974 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 1973 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1970 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 9 |
| 1969 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1968 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 17 |
| 1967 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1965 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1962 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 1961 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1960 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 15 |
| 1959 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 1958 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1957 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1956 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1955 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1953 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1952 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1949 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1948 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1945 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1944 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1942 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1940 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1925 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1923 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1922 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1921 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1919 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1917 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1916 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
