What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 04 Nov 2014 → 07 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 06 Nov 2012 → 16 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 19 Jan 2019 → 22 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 23 Aug 2011 → 11 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 Aug 2014 → 20 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 10 Sep 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 18 Mar 2017 → 29 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 11 Mar 2014 → 01 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 12 Nov 2013 → 11 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 26 Apr 2025 → 25 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 414 | 88 | 21.3% | 3 | 18 |
| FA Cup | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 16 |
| 2018 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2017 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2013 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 257 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), Braintree Town drew 57 where the draw model expected 70.0 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 65.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.