What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 04 Oct 2025 → 12 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 20 Jul 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 Oct 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 25 Jun 2022 → 14 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 12 May 2024 → 26 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 26 Apr 2026 → 31 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 15 Mar 2026 → 19 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 06 Apr 2025 → 05 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 24 Oct 2021 → 16 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 09 Apr 2014 → 03 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 261 | 78 | 29.9% | 2 | 15 |
| Copa do Brasil | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 1 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 2024 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2021 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 7 |
| 2020 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 5 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 297 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Red Bull Bragantino drew 88 where the draw model expected 83.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 79.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.