What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 10 Mar 2009 → 29 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 15 Jan 2013 → 20 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 18 Feb 2023 → 05 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 30 Dec 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 13 Mar 2021 → 31 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Feb 2000 → 22 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 03 Nov 1999 → 03 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 10 Nov 1998 → 26 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 27 Apr 1996 → 01 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 11 Dec 2021 → 05 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 782 | 214 | 27.4% | 0 | 19 |
| Premier League | 351 | 90 | 25.6% | 5 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 276 | 63 | 22.8% | 0 | 6 |
| Championship | 184 | 48 | 26.1% | 3 | 11 |
| League Cup | 176 | 53 | 30.1% | 2 | 5 |
| League Two | 138 | 34 | 24.6% | 6 | 21 |
| Club Friendlies | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 9 |
| 2025 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 12 |
| 2024 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2023 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 17 |
| 2022 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2020 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2017 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2016 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 10 |
| 2015 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2014 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 10 |
| 2013 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 20 |
| 2012 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 13 |
| 2010 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2009 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 22 |
| 2008 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 15 |
| 2006 | 51 | 23 | 45.1% | 6 |
| 2005 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2004 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2003 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2002 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 7 |
| 2001 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 14 |
| 1999 | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 13 |
| 1998 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 1997 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 5 |
| 1996 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 1995 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 1994 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1993 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 1992 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 |
| 1991 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1989 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 1 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1984 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1981 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1976 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1974 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 1973 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1972 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 |
| 1967 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1960 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1952 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1929 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 552 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Bournemouth drew 136 where the draw model expected 134.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 140.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.