Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,465 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,583 reached 1 Apr 2016
Rank #12,665 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 129 last 21 Dec 2025

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Ligue 2 114 25 21.9%
Coupe de France 15 2 13.3%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2025 1 0 0.0% 1
2020 1 0 0.0% 1
2018 22 5 22.7% 9
2017 38 3 7.9% 26
2016 41 16 39.0% 5
2015 21 2 9.5% 8
2014 1 0 0.0% 1
2013 1 0 0.0% 1
2012 3 1 33.3% 2

Over 124 matches (Jul 2015 – Dec 2025), Football Bourg-en-Bresse Péronnas drew 26 where the draw model expected 35.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 37.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.