What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 Feb 2009 → 22 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Jan 2011 → 06 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 18 Jan 2008 → 18 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 15 Aug 2025 → 03 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 16 Sep 2011 → 05 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 24 Oct 2009 → 16 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 13 Dec 2008 → 02 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 17 Oct 2008 → 28 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 05 Nov 2007 → 05 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 27 Apr 2012 → 18 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 197 | 57 | 28.9% | 1 | 16 |
| Ligue 1 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 3 | 8 |
| Coupe de France | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% | 4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 16 |
| 2010 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2009 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 20 |
| 2008 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 15 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
Over 268 matches (Jul 2007 – Oct 2026), US Boulogne drew 72 where the draw model expected 78.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 77.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.