What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 18 Oct 2008 → 28 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 20 Mar 2012 → 21 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 Aug 2021 → 20 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 07 Dec 2013 → 15 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 10 Mar 2010 → 17 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 13 Sep 2024 → 03 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 09 Feb 2024 → 06 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 06 Feb 2022 → 09 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 18 May 2013 → 14 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 26 Nov 2011 → 13 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 266 | 74 | 27.8% | 7 | 12 |
| Regionalliga West | 70 | 10 | 14.3% | 12 | 16 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2023 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2021 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2012 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 13 |
| 2011 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
| 2010 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 11 |
| 2009 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 11 |
Over 131 matches (Jan 2015 – May 2025), Borussia Dortmund II drew 35 where the draw model expected 36.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 36.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.