What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 01 Oct 2022 → 18 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 28 Jan 2021 → 09 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 11 Apr 2010 → 16 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 25 May 1994 → 08 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 16 Apr 2022 → 10 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 31 Oct 2010 → 06 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Mar 2007 → 05 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 13 Aug 2017 → 24 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 10 Mar 2013 → 21 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 06 Feb 2002 → 12 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 592 | 158 | 26.7% | 1 | 15 |
| Bundesliga | 544 | 133 | 24.5% | 2 | 18 |
| DFB-Pokal | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2021 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 10 |
| 2019 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2017 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 2015 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2012 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2009 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2008 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2007 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2006 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 6 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2004 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2003 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2002 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2001 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 6 |
| 1999 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 1998 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 1997 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 1995 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 9 |
| 1994 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 1993 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
Over 441 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), VfL Bochum drew 121 where the draw model expected 112.7 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.