What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 24 May 2015 → 08 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 25 Jun 2017 → 27 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 22 May 2022 → 10 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 02 Feb 2025 → 27 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 20 Apr 2014 → 07 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 26 Sep 2021 → 24 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 27 Sep 2025 → 07 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 03 Mar 2024 → 21 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 27 Nov 2016 → 09 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 10 Jul 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 422 | 111 | 26.3% | 3 | 18 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 74 | 26 | 35.1% | 0 | 8 |
| Copa Argentina | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 4 |
| 2025 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 15 |
| 2021 | 50 | 21 | 42.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2019 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 2018 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 6 |
| 2017 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 16 |
| 2016 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 24 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2013 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 462 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Boca Juniors drew 125 where the draw model expected 134.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 138.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.