What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 07 Mar 2021 → 02 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 02 Dec 2020 → 23 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 26 Dec 2018 → 27 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 07 Apr 2019 → 25 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 28 Jan 2018 → 25 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 12 Jan 2020 → 26 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 02 Dec 2018 → 16 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 22 Sep 2018 → 13 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 03 Dec 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 21 Oct 2017 → 07 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 130 | 39 | 30.0% | 10 | 10 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 2019 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2017 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 4 |
Over 130 matches (Aug 2017 – May 2021), Bisceglie drew 39 where the draw model expected 41.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 39.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.