What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 09 Mar 2024 → 13 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 14 Sep 1983 → 21 Mar 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 03 Dec 2022 → 04 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 01 Sep 1981 → 04 Nov 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 20 Sep 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 25 Nov 2023 → 04 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 03 Mar 2023 → 02 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 20 Oct 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 06 Aug 2022 → 26 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 25 Aug 2026 → 10 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regionalliga Nordost | 84 | 26 | 31.0% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| DFB-Pokal | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2023 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 4 |
| 2022 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
Over 151 matches (Sep 1971 – Oct 2026), Berliner FC Dynamo drew 45 where the draw model expected 35.6 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 35.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.