What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 09 Jun 2024 → 13 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 09 Sep 2018 → 11 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 12 Jan 1999 → 19 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 29 Feb 2004 → 13 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 30 Mar 2008 → 30 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 07 Jan 2007 → 05 Jul 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 25 Mar 2026 → 05 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Jun 1969 → 11 Nov 1969 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 26 Apr 1992 → 18 Oct 1992 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 17 Nov 2023 → 25 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 75 | 14 | 18.7% | 2 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 0 | 7 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 3 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 6 | 6 |
| Island Games | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Gold Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2021 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2019 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2008 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2007 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1982 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 204 matches (Aug 1964 – Oct 2026), Bermuda drew 33 where the draw model expected 42.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 44.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.