BER ยท National Team

Bermuda

Bermuda national football team
Played 202
Draw % 16.3%
No-draw N 6
Max streak 16 09 Jun 2024 โ†’ 13 Nov 2025
Avg top run 8.1 top 10
Draw debt E 0.77
p50 14.0%
p100 12.0%
Draw score 0.302 rank #410 Draws 33
Team strength ยท Elo all ratings โ€บ
Rating 1,434 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,649 reached 12 Jun 2015
Rank #249 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 198 last 6 Jun 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form ยท draws highlighted
W D W L W L D L L W W W W L L L W W L L L L L D L W L L L L

Over 202 matches (Aug 1964 โ€“ Oct 2026), Bermuda drew 33 where the draw model expected 41.8 from those particular fixtures โ€” about 9 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 43.4 instead โ€” "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page โ€บ
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 75 14 18.7%
FIFA World Cup qualification 50 12 24.0%
CFU Caribbean Cup qualification 27 4 14.8%
CONCACAF Nations League 21 3 14.3%
Island Games 8 0 0.0%
CONCACAF Championship qualification 4 0 0.0%
Gold Cup qualification 4 0 0.0%
CONCACAF Nations League qualification 4 0 0.0%
Gold Cup 3 0 0.0%
FIFA Series 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 6 0 0.0% 6
2025 10 1 10.0% 9
2024 10 1 10.0% 7
2023 8 2 25.0% 2
2022 3 1 33.3% 2
2021 6 1 16.7% 3
2019 11 1 9.1% 9
2018 5 1 20.0% 3
2017 3 0 0.0% 3
2016 3 0 0.0% 3
2015 5 1 20.0% 3
2013 4 0 0.0% 4
2012 3 0 0.0% 3
2011 6 1 16.7% 3
2008 11 2 18.2% 7
2007 9 0 0.0% 7
2006 4 1 25.0% 3
2005 2 0 0.0% 2
2004 14 2 14.3% 8
2003 1 0 0.0% 1
2001 1 0 0.0% 1
2000 5 2 40.0% 3
1999 7 0 0.0% 7
1998 2 0 0.0% 2
1997 3 0 0.0% 3
1992 12 3 25.0% 5
1991 2 1 50.0% 1
1990 7 2 28.6% 2
1989 5 1 20.0% 2
1988 1 1 100.0% 0
1982 6 4 66.7% 2
1979 2 0 0.0% 2
1975 2 0 0.0% 1
1974 3 1 33.3% 2
1973 2 0 0.0% 1
1972 2 1 50.0% 1
1971 2 0 0.0% 2
1970 1 1 100.0% 0
1969 7 0 0.0% 6
1968 4 1 25.0% 2
1965 1 0 0.0% 1
1964 1 0 0.0% 1
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
โ˜† 05 Oct 2026 Barbados 2โ€“1 Bermuda H โ€”
โ˜† 02 Oct 2026 Barbados 4โ€“1 Bermuda H โ€”
โ˜† 28 Sep 2026 Saint Lucia 5โ€“2 Bermuda H โ€”
โ˜† 25 Sep 2026 Bermuda 1โ€“2 Guadeloupe A โ€”
โ˜† 06 Jun 2026 Bermuda 3โ€“0 Cape Verde H ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 25 Mar 2026 Bermuda 0โ€“2 DR Congo A ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 18 Nov 2025 Trinidad and Tobago 2โ€“2 Bermuda D ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 13 Nov 2025 Bermuda 0โ€“7 Curaรงao A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 14 Oct 2025 Jamaica 4โ€“0 Bermuda H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 10 Oct 2025 Bermuda 0โ€“3 Trinidad and Tobago A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 09 Sep 2025 Curaรงao 3โ€“2 Bermuda H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 05 Sep 2025 Bermuda 0โ€“4 Jamaica A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 10 Jun 2025 Cuba 1โ€“2 Bermuda A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 04 Jun 2025 Bermuda 5โ€“0 Cayman Islands H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 25 Mar 2025 Honduras 2โ€“0 Bermuda H ITL ยท Gold Cup qualification
โ˜† 21 Mar 2025 Bermuda 3โ€“5 Honduras A ITL ยท Gold Cup qualification
โ˜† 19 Nov 2024 Dominican Republic 6โ€“1 Bermuda H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 16 Nov 2024 Bermuda 2โ€“1 Antigua and Barbuda H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 15 Oct 2024 Bermuda 3โ€“2 Dominica H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 12 Oct 2024 Bermuda 6โ€“1 Dominica H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 10 Sep 2024 Antigua and Barbuda 0โ€“1 Bermuda A ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 07 Sep 2024 Bermuda 2โ€“3 Dominican Republic A ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 09 Jun 2024 Bermuda 1โ€“6 Honduras A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 05 Jun 2024 Antigua and Barbuda 1โ€“1 Bermuda D ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 25 Mar 2024 Bermuda 1โ€“5 Guinea A ITL ยท FIFA Series
โ˜† 22 Mar 2024 Brunei 0โ€“2 Bermuda A ITL ยท FIFA Series
โ˜† 21 Nov 2023 French Guiana 3โ€“0 Bermuda H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 17 Nov 2023 Bermuda 3โ€“1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 17 Oct 2023 Bermuda 1โ€“1 Belize D ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 13 Oct 2023 Belize 0โ€“1 Bermuda A ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 12 Sep 2023 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4โ€“3 Bermuda H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 08 Sep 2023 Bermuda 0โ€“0 French Guiana D ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 28 Mar 2023 Haiti 3โ€“1 Bermuda H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 25 Mar 2023 Bermuda 0โ€“2 Guyana A ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 11 Jun 2022 Montserrat 3โ€“2 Bermuda H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 07 Jun 2022 Guyana 2โ€“1 Bermuda H ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 04 Jun 2022 Bermuda 0โ€“0 Haiti D ITL ยท CONCACAF Nations League
โ˜† 06 Jul 2021 Haiti 4โ€“1 Bermuda H ITL ยท Gold Cup qualification
โ˜† 02 Jul 2021 Bermuda 8โ€“1 Barbados H ITL ยท Gold Cup qualification
โ˜† 08 Jun 2021 Bermuda 1โ€“1 Cayman Islands D ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
202 matches ยท page 1 / 6 โ€น prev next โ€บ