What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 May 2017 → 27 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 10 Dec 2017 → 07 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 13 Jul 2020 → 22 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 19 Mar 2022 → 14 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Oct 2021 → 13 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 15 Apr 2024 → 30 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 30 Mar 2025 → 21 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 06 Sep 2018 → 03 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 09 Nov 2025 → 05 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 09 Feb 2020 → 21 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 202 | 55 | 27.2% | 1 | 10 |
| Serie C | 110 | 32 | 29.1% | 0 | 10 |
| Serie A | 76 | 15 | 19.7% | 0 | 16 |
| Coppa Italia | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2022 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 11 |
| 2021 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 10 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 14 |
| 2019 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 12 |
| 2017 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 17 |
| 2016 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 405 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), Benevento Calcio drew 106 where the draw model expected 115.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 122.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.