What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 21 Aug 1994 → 10 Dec 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 26 Feb 2012 → 12 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 22 Oct 2011 → 12 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 20 Jan 2001 → 02 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 02 May 2003 → 31 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 30 Mar 2013 → 19 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 06 Mar 2005 → 24 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 25 Apr 2004 → 24 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 09 Feb 2003 → 06 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 26 Mar 1995 → 14 May 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 358 | 101 | 28.2% | 7 | 14 |
| Taça de Portugal | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 11 |
| 2011 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2006 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2005 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2003 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 1999 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 1994 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 14 |
Over 365 matches (Aug 1994 – Sep 2026), SC Beira-Mar drew 103 where the draw model expected 93.7 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 92.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.