What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 30 Apr 2019 → 28 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 30 Jul 2014 → 20 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 23 Aug 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 02 Nov 2014 → 11 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 15 Mar 2014 → 18 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 10 Jul 2013 → 07 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 15 Mar 2006 → 01 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 01 Mar 2019 → 14 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 05 Oct 2018 → 07 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 24 Jun 2015 → 10 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 120 | 31 | 25.8% | 1 | 13 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 66 | 14 | 21.2% | 2 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 15 |
| 2018 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2014 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
Over 101 matches (Mar 2015 – Dec 2019), Beijing Renhe drew 26 where the draw model expected 25.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 25.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.