What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 04 Aug 2001 → 05 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 30 Mar 2012 → 22 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 26 Oct 1996 → 08 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 19 Feb 2005 → 28 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 26 Jul 1995 → 14 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 22 Apr 2022 → 02 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 19 Dec 2015 → 26 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 11 Mar 2017 → 20 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 22 Aug 2015 → 31 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 16 Dec 2011 → 17 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 588 | 149 | 25.3% | 10 | 18 |
| Ligue 2 | 409 | 118 | 28.8% | 2 | 11 |
| Coupe de France | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2025 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2024 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2023 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2017 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2014 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2011 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2010 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2008 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 13 |
| 2004 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2003 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 9 |
| 2002 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | 17 |
| 2000 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 10 |
| 1997 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 7 |
| 1996 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 1995 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 1994 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1981 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
Over 295 matches (Jan 2015 – May 2026), SC Bastia drew 91 where the draw model expected 88.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 86.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.