What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 09 Jan 2021 → 02 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 26 Aug 2019 → 23 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 19 Dec 2025 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 04 Jan 2025 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 02 Aug 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 26 Dec 2012 → 19 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 02 Jan 2010 → 27 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 22 Sep 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 21 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Apr 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 464 | 133 | 28.7% | 0 | 15 |
| League Two | 276 | 71 | 25.7% | 6 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 137 | 35 | 25.6% | 0 | 3 |
| League Cup | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 16 |
| 2020 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 15 |
| 2018 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 48 | 20 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2011 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2010 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2009 | 50 | 20 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 6 |
| 2007 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1967 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 538 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), Barrow drew 149 where the draw model expected 149.1 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 141.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.