Barracas Central
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 198 matches (Apr 2019 – Sep 2026), Barracas Central drew 68 where the draw model expected 61.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 60.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 27 Mar 2025 → 10 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 11 Feb 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 02 May 2026 → 27 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 30 Jul 2023 → 26 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 22 Aug 2024 → 29 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Aug 2022 → 09 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 03 Jul 2022 → 27 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 27 May 2024 → 19 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 09 Feb 2026 → 25 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 09 Mar 2024 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 142 | 55 | 38.7% | 1 | 11 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 1 | 11 |
| Copa Argentina | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 9 |
| 2025 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 12 |
| 2024 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 20:00 |
Atlético Tucumán
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.4% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
Barracas Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 34.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.4% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Barracas Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Belgrano de Córdoba
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Barracas Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.