What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 01 Oct 2011 → 25 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 13 Jan 2007 → 14 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 22 | 05 Feb 1994 → 13 Aug 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 20 | 27 Oct 2020 → 23 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 19 | 13 Dec 2014 → 14 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 19 | 08 Mar 2008 → 16 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 18 | 22 Apr 1997 → 25 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 22 Oct 1994 → 04 Feb 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 28 Dec 2009 → 06 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 22 Apr 2000 → 19 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 966 | 254 | 26.3% | 5 | 25 |
| League One | 518 | 147 | 28.4% | 0 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 303 | 77 | 25.4% | 3 | 5 |
| League Cup | 169 | 40 | 23.7% | 0 | 6 |
| Premier League | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 3 | 12 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 5 |
| 2025 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2022 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2021 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 11 |
| 2020 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 15 |
| 2019 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2018 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 2015 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 15 |
| 2014 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 15 |
| 2010 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2009 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 2008 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 19 |
| 2007 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 22 |
| 2006 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2005 | 51 | 22 | 43.1% | 5 |
| 2004 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 8 |
| 2003 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2002 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2000 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 1999 | 56 | 15 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 1998 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 1997 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 18 |
| 1996 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 8 |
| 1995 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 1994 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 22 |
| 1993 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1989 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1981 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1978 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1970 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1962 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1961 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1935 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1922 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1912 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 3 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1903 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 600 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Barnsley drew 149 where the draw model expected 161.6 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 159.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.