What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 29 Mar 2014 → 07 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 26 May 2007 → 29 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 27 Feb 2026 → 08 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 14 May 2017 → 08 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 14 Mar 2004 → 22 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 15 Oct 1994 → 15 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 01 Nov 2014 → 28 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 26 Dec 2013 → 15 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 28 Nov 1999 → 06 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 24 Sep 1995 → 10 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 778 | 265 | 34.1% | 12 | 13 |
| Serie A | 280 | 73 | 26.1% | 6 | 11 |
| Serie C | 94 | 27 | 28.7% | 1 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 17 | 46.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2020 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2018 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 5 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2016 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2015 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2014 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 15 |
| 2013 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2012 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2011 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2010 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2009 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 5 |
| 2007 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 13 |
| 2006 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2005 | 45 | 19 | 42.2% | 5 |
| 2004 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2003 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 8 |
| 2001 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 1999 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 1996 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 1994 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 9 |
Over 407 matches (Jan 2015 – May 2026), SSC Bari drew 135 where the draw model expected 126.5 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 127.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.