What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 25 Jul 2015 → 26 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 17 Sep 2022 → 02 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 13 Oct 2019 → 11 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 02 Sep 2019 → 06 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 03 Jul 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 May 2015 → 07 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 13 Feb 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 02 Apr 2014 → 06 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 08 Jun 2022 → 19 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 09 May 2022 → 29 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 152 | 41 | 27.0% | 2 | 14 |
| Copa do Brasil | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 8 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2017 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 14 |
| 2014 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 182 matches (Apr 2015 – Mar 2026), Avaí drew 48 where the draw model expected 50.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 48.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.