What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12 Sep 2012 → 10 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 15 May 2017 → 25 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 03 Aug 2024 → 03 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 06 Jun 2012 → 25 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 03 Jul 2022 → 06 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 27 Aug 2022 → 05 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 29 Nov 2021 → 15 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 12 Oct 2021 → 10 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 30 Jul 2017 → 26 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 25 Nov 2012 → 17 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 228 | 67 | 29.4% | 2 | 12 |
| Copa do Brasil | 58 | 18 | 31.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 55 | 21 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
Over 240 matches (Apr 2015 – May 2026), Atlético Goianiense drew 74 where the draw model expected 68.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 64.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.