Atlético Tucumán
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 379 matches (May 2015 – Sep 2026), Atlético Tucumán drew 112 where the draw model expected 116.4 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 114.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 24 Aug 2025 → 24 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 24 Feb 2025 → 13 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 04 Mar 2019 → 01 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 03 Apr 2021 → 28 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 08 May 2016 → 16 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 26 Jul 2024 → 22 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 02 Jul 2022 → 12 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 28 Oct 2018 → 04 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 10 Dec 2024 → 14 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 27 May 2023 → 12 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 285 | 85 | 29.8% | 3 | 12 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 66 | 21 | 31.8% | 2 | 7 |
| Copa Argentina | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 12 |
| 2024 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2020 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2019 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2018 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 6 |
| 2017 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2016 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 20:00 |
Atlético Tucumán
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.4% |
|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 21:00 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Atlético Tucumán
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Club Atlético Tigre
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.4% |
|
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Atlético Tucumán
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Atlético Tucumán
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Club Atlético Banfield
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.