What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 04 Dec 2024 → 29 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 12 Aug 2020 → 01 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 08 Jul 2023 → 01 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 31 Aug 2019 → 23 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 21 Sep 2025 → 14 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 18 Aug 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Feb 2024 → 06 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 06 Dec 2023 → 10 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 26 Feb 2023 → 22 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 20 Nov 2021 → 26 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 296 | 59 | 19.9% | 2 | 26 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 34 | 1 | 2.9% | 24 |
| 2024 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2022 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2019 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 12 |
| 2013 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
Over 263 matches (Jul 2019 – Oct 2026), Atlético de San Luis drew 49 where the draw model expected 68.7 from those particular fixtures — about 20 fewer, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 71.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.