What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 22 Oct 2014 → 01 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 08 Aug 2013 → 12 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 Oct 2015 → 05 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 10 Aug 2014 → 13 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 30 Apr 2017 → 07 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 20 Nov 2016 → 20 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 01 Jun 2015 → 10 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Sep 2012 → 10 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 17 Nov 2012 → 13 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 02 Oct 2016 → 30 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 172 | 51 | 29.7% | 2 | 10 |
| Copa Argentina | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 6 |
| 2015 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2013 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 10 |
| 2012 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 197 matches (Nov 2011 – Mar 2026), Atlético de Rafaela drew 59 where the draw model expected 59.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 59.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.